STAT 110: Homework 4 Solutions (20 pts) Spring 2017 1. Suppose the Fish and Game Department stocked a particular man-made lake with fish in the following proportions: 30% catfish, 15% bass, 40% bluegill, and 15% pike. Five years later, it sampled the lake to see if the distribution of fish had changed. It found that the 500 fish in the sample were distributed as follows: Type Catfish Bass Bluegill Pike Total Frequency 128 84 216 72 500 Research Question: Is there evidence that the distribution of fish has changed from five years ago? a. Write the null and alternative hypotheses for investigating this research question. (2 pts) Ho: the distribution of fish has not changed from five years ago (πcatfish = 0.30, πbass = 0.15, πbluegill = 0.40, πpike = 0.15) Ha: the distribution of fish has changed from five years ago b. How many of the 500 fish do we expect to see of each type if the distribution of fish in the lake has not changed? Show your work to justify your answer (don’t forget to do this for each type of fish). (2 pts) Catfish: 30% of 500 = 150 Bass: 15% of 500 = 75 Bluegill: 40% of 500 = 200 Pike: 15% of 500 = 75 1 c. Find the chi-square test statistic for investigating this research question by hand. Show your work to receive full credit. (2 pts) (Observed - Expected 128 1502 84 - 752 216 - 2002 72 - 752 = 5.707 Expected 150 75 200 75 2 d. Carry out the chi-square test in JMP, and find the p-value for investigating this research question (you should attach your JMP output to receive full credit). (2 pts) p-value: 0.1268 Common Error: JMP alphabetizes the categories! If you just list the hypothesized proportions in the order described, you get the wrong result (shown below). e. Write a conclusion in the context of the research question. (2 pts) The data do not provide enough evidence to conclude that the distribution of fish has changed in this lake from five years ago. 2 2. According to the “2015 Crash Facts” reported by the Minnesota Department of Public Safety, the following number of alcohol-related crashes occurred on each given day of the week in the state of Minnesota in 2015. Source: https://dps.mn.gov/divisions/ots/reports-statistics/Documents/2015%20Crash%20Facts.pdf Day of the week Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Total Frequency 714 345 375 382 424 583 811 3,634 Research Question: Is there evidence that alcohol-related crashes are more likely to occur on some day(s) of the week than on others? a. Write the null and alternative hypotheses for investigating this research question. (2 pts) Ho: Alcohol-related crashes are equally likely to occur on any given day of the week (πSunday = πMonday = πTuesday = πWednesday = πThursday = πFriday = πSaturday = 1/7 = 14.286%) Ha: Alcohol-related crashes are not equally likely to occur on any given day of the week b. How many of the 3,634 crashes do we expect to see on each day of the week if alcohol-related crashes are equally likely to occur each day? Show your work to justify your answer. (2 pts) 1/7 of 3634 = 519.14 3 c. Find the chi-square test statistic for investigating this research question by hand. Show your work to receive full credit. (2 pts) (Observed - Expected 714 519.142 345 519.142 375 519.142 Expected 519.14 519.14 519.14 2 2 2 2 2 382 519.14 424 519.14 583 519.14 811 519.14 519.14 519.14 519.14 519.14 397.2 d. Carry out the chi-square test in JMP, and find the p-value for investigating this research question (you should attach your JMP output to receive full credit). (2 pts) p-value: < 0.0001 e. Write a conclusion in the context of the research question. (2 pts) The data provide statistical evidence that alcohol-related crashes are not equally likely to occur on any given day of the week. It appears that more are happening on the weekends. 4
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